With the state of golf in 2023, the Masters lived up to the hype with one person from the PGA Tour and LIV Golf in the final pairing in Augusta. Jon Rahm rallied to beat Brooks Koepka at that event. Now, the best from around the world converge at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, for the year’s second major, the PGA Championship. Let’s take a look at the 2023 PGA Championship Odds by Jazzsports.
The event dates back to 1916 as a match-play event and continued in that format until 1957. After that, it became a 72-hole stroke-play tournament. Overall, Jack Nicklaus and Walter Hagen own the most wins with five. Tiger Woods has four victories in this tournament. Active golfers with more than one PGA Championship win to their credit are Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, and defending tournament champion Justin Thomas.
This will be the fourth time the East Course at Oak Hill has hosted this event, and it can be a tough one for players. In 1980, Nicklaus won at -6 but was the only golfer to shoot under par, winning by seven strokes. In 2003, Shaun Micheel shot at 4-under 276 to win by two strokes. It was a bit easier for Jason Dufner in 2013, winning at -10. The course has also hosted the U.S. Open and the Ryder Cup.
A total of 33 golfers from the 2013 event are in the field this year, but the greens have all been rebuilt since then. The course is par 70 and measures 7,394 yards. The greens are on the smaller side and there are some long holes—two par 5s clocking in at over 600 yards and a par 4 that sits at 495 yards. Winds are also expected to be a factor from Friday on into the weekend.
Jon Rahm (+800) comes in after a two-week break, which has been his longest period of rest all season. The last time out, he was a huge favorite at the Mexico Open at Vidanta but finished runner-up to Tony Finau. He showed incredible poise at Augusta when blowing past Koepka on the final day to log his fourth win of 2023. A win here would give him trophies for three out of the four majors, going along with his 2021 U.S. Open victory.
Scottie Scheffler, however, is very narrowly ahead of Rahm in the odds at +750. Scheffler has also shown a knack to get ahead and run away on golf’s biggest stage, doing it at the 2022 Masters and this year’s Players Championship. He was fifth at the AT&T Byron Nelson last week, making it 13 events in a row with a finish of 12th or better. No one in the field is more automatic.
Rory McIlroy (+1200) has high odds based on his talent, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him contend for the win here. But after missing the cut at the Masters and placing 45th in his return at Quail Hollow two weeks ago, it still seems like McIlroy isn’t fully back.
Two of the best golfers yet to win a major are at +1500: Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele. Cantlay now has Joe LaCava, former Tiger Woods caddie, on the bag and comes in with 10 top-25 finishes in 12 starts this year and three-straight top 15s in majors. Schauffele hasn’t won yet this year but has been ridiculously close nearly all year. Since withdrawing from the PGA Tour’s first event of 2023 with a back issue, he’s made every cut and is on a run of five-straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Wells Fargo Championship in his most recent appearance.
Brooks Koepka (+2000) proved last month that he’s returned to form now that he’s healthy. Along with the runner-up finish at the Masters, he won on the LIV Golf circuit the week before Augusta and finished third and sixth in his two most recent starts on that tour. He’s also a two-time winner of the PGA, so don’t expect the stage to bother him.
Tony Finau (+2000) outdueled Rahm at the Mexico Open a few weeks ago for his fourth win since July, but he has yet to seriously contend at a major. He’s played well in them (three top 15s in the last four), but we haven’t seen him take a step up where the pressure is on him on Sunday in one of these events since his resurgence.
Dustin Johnson (+2000) is coming off a win at LIV Golf Tulsa last week in a three-way playoff and owns an eighth-place finish here at Oak Hill in 2013. Overall, Johnson is a two-time major winner and also has five runners-up in golf’s big four events.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+3000) feels surprisingly low on this list given that he won a Designated Event in the RBC Heritage last month and logged a top 10 at the Masters. He will also be defending his U.S. Open title next month, so he’s not far removed from a major victory.
Tyrrell Hatton (+4000) has flown a bit under the radar this year but has posted strong finishes nearly everywhere. His three top-five finishes have all come in Designated Events, so he performs well against elite fields. The Englishman is also coming off a fifth at the Byron Nelson last week.
Tommy Fleetwood (+6000), a multi-time winner on the DP World Tour, has yet to break through in the U.S., but he’s been close as of late. He led after the first round of the Wells Fargo Championship before finishing fifth, and he was fifth in this event a year ago.
We like Scheffler and Rahm as favorites but will pass on McIlroy and Cantlay. We’ll also back Schauffele and Koepka along with Fitzpatrick as our value bets.
Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the 2023 PGA Championship.
|ODDS TO WIN BY JAZZSPORTS.AG
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