Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Odds & Preview

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Odds & Preview

One of the unique parts about the world of professional golf is that there’s rarely time to stop and smell the roses. A few days after leading Europe to a 2023 Ryder Cup victory, three members of that team are heading to Scotland for the next event on the DP World Tour: the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

PGA Tour Odds

Countryman Robert MacIntyre, Tommy Fleetwood, and Matt Fitzpatrick will be among those looking to top defending champion Ryan Fox.

The standard, 72-hole DP World Tour event will take place alongside a pro-am, where each professional golfer will be teamed with an amateur—celebrities, athletes, and family members take part in this event.

The tournament began in 2001 and tours some of Scotland’s most famous links courses, including the Old Course at St. Andrews. Among the winners here, Padraig Harrington and Tyrrell Hatton are two-time champs, with Hatton winning back-to-back tournaments in 2016-17. Hatton, who isn’t entered in the event this year after helping to win the Ryder Cup, holds the tournament record with a 24-under 264 that he shot in 2017.

The Course

The first three rounds will see golfers rotate among St. Andrews, Kingsbarns, and Carnoustie. The final round is held at St. Andrews. The cut is made after the third round; the top-60 pros (with ties) and top-20 pro-am teams play on the Old Course on Sunday.

St. Andrews, known as the home of golf, has held The Open Championship 30 times while Carnoustie—home of what many say are the world’s most difficult pot bunkers—played host to eight of them. Kingsbarns opened in 2000 and can be a forgiving course if the weather is fair. Par is 72 on all three courses.

Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick Favored Over Fox

Tommy Fleetwood (+800)

Is coming off a strong Ryder Cup, where he clinched the victory for Team Europe in his singles match win on Sunday. It’s just part of a tremendous stretch of golf for the Englishman, which started in the spring with a playoff loss at the PGA Tour’s RBC Canadian Open, followed by a top-five at the U.S. Open, top 10s on the links at the Genesis Scottish Open and The Open Championship, and a top-10 finish at the PGA Tour Championship. He hasn’t won on the PGA Tour, despite several near-misses, but Fleetwood did win on the DP World Tour last November in South Africa.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+900)

Wasn’t as strong at the Ryder Cup, but he also has an impressive resume as of late. His 2023 PGA Tour campaign included a win at Hilton Head, South Carolina, a runner-up at the BMW Championship, and a ninth-place finish in the FedEx Cup. He followed that up by leading the Omega European Masters in the final round last month before settling for third.

Ryan Fox (+1500)

The defending champion, won the BMW PGA Championship in England three weeks ago. A missed cut at the Open de France and a week off for the New Zealander has him ready to defend his title. Along with a win here last year, Fox owns a third at the Irish Open in early September and a 12th at the Genesis Scottish Open, so his links game remains strong.

You might be surprised to see the names of Talor Gooch (+1500), Louis Oosthuizen (+2200), and Dean Burmester (+2200) on the oddsboard since they are members of LIV Golf. But since they were not members of the DP World Tour at the time they joined LIV in 2022, they are eligible for this event after receiving special invitations for this event.

Gooch has won three times on the LIV tour this year but doesn’t have a lot of links experience. Oosthuzien is a former champion at St. Andrews and was 10th in this tournament in 2022, but Burmester may be in the best form of the three. He’s come in the top 20 in every LIV start since May, and his driving power helped him to a seventh in the 2021 Open followed by an 11th-place finish the following year at St. Andrews.

There’s tremendous value in Robert MacIntyre, who comes in at +2500 odds after a breakout performance at the Ryder Cup. The 27-year-old rookie in the event went 2-0-1 across three matches and defeated U.S. Open champion Wyndham Clark, 2 and 1, in singles competition on Sunday. MacIntyre famously partied hard on Sunday night, but Ryder Cup participants have fared well in the event in the past, including wins by Martin Kaymer and Harrington along with runner-up finishes by Fleetwood and Hatton in 2018, which was the last time the Ryder Cup was held in Europe.

MacIntyre finished runner-up to Rory McIlroy at the Genesis Scottish Open in July, and along with the home-country vibes, MacIntyre has proper motivation to continue to play well through the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai, next month: He’s currently in sixth in the Race to Dubai standings; a finish in the top 10 will allow him to earn membership into the 2024 PGA Tour season.

Alex Fitzpatrick (+5000), younger brother of Matt, just turned pro a year ago but has made a name for himself on the DP World Tour after also winning on the second-tier Challenge Tour. Fitzpatrick was in the mix after a 65 in the third round of The Open Championship this year before winding up 17th. More recently, he has top-five finishes in two of his last five starts.

Matthew Jordan (+7500) has led this event at the halfway point twice before and was fifth in 2019. He was a late qualifier for The Open Championship this year and finished 10th with the added pressure of it taking place at Royal Liverpool, which is his home course.

Fleetwood continues to chase victories, and while he doesn’t have any in 2023, he is nearly always in contention, so we can’t ignore him. We also like Fox to repeat along with Burmester and MacIntyre.

Tommy Fleetwood+800
Matt Fitzpatrick+900
Ryan Fox+1500
Talor Gooch+1500
Adrian Meronk+1500
Billy Horschel+1800
Jordan Smith+1800
Louis Oosthuizen+2200
Dean Burmester+2200
Robert MacIntyre+2500

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