DP World Tour: Qatar Masters Odds & Golf Betting Picks

DP World Tour: Qatar Masters Odds & Golf Betting Picks

Qatar Masters Gives DPWT Golfers Last Chance to Secure Positioning for Dubai and 2024

The final chance for DP World Tour golfers to earn points in the Race to Dubai standings occurs this week in the Middle East at the Qatar Masters. Golfers will be vying to finish in the top-50 in points to earn a spot in the DP World Tour Championship next month. Those further down in the standings will be looking to crack the top 116, as that’s the final spot available for a full DPWT card for 2024.

In addition, those finishing in the top 10 in the Race to Dubai standings—and aren’t already eligible—have a pathway to the PGA Tour. The top finisher in that list gets a full PGA Tour card, and that spot is currently held by Adrian Meronk after his win in Spain last week.

DP World Tour Odds

It all makes for good theatre at Doha Golf Club, which will host the tournament for the 24th time. The event returned to Doha last year after a two-year stint in Education City. This event has been on the schedule annually since 1998, and there are three two-time winners here: Adam Scott, Paul Lawrie, and Branden Grace. Ewen Ferguson picked up the first DPWT win of his career here last year, when the tournament was held in March. He added another win at the ISPS Handa World Invitational in August of 2022.

The Course

Doha Golf Club is par 72 and 7,466 yards in length, making it a course that long drivers can excel at in calm conditions. If it’s windier, accuracy While there’s water on six holes, many players have said that it plays like a links course, especially on the approach where players can run shots onto the green instead of flying it directly.

Ferguson’s winning score of a 7-under 281 was the highest score by a winner in tournament history. The course record is a 20-under 268, shared by Lawrie and Scott, who as we mentioned are both two-time winners here.

Rai Favored in Tightly Bunched Leaderboard

Aaron Rai (+1500)

Is one of the few who traveled west to arrive in Qatar for this event. He’s coming off a 21st-place finish at the PGA Tour’s ZOZO Championship in Japan last week. On the DPWT, Rai has two top-five finishes in his last five starts, including a runner-up against a strong field at the BMW PGA Championship. He played poorly at the Open de France the week after, but 13 of his 14 previous rounds were under par.

The only other player with odds less than +2000 is Thorbjorn Olesen, who is at +1800. Olesen is currently eighth in the list of top-10 players who are otherwise not eligible for PGA Tour cards, so he has a chance to move more safely into the top 10 with a strong finish here. He had good form in the two Spanish events, finishing 17th and ninth over the last two weeks, and he was 10th in France. He was 12th here last year but does own two podium finishes at Doha.

Other Qatar Masters Contenders

A group of players at +2500 are strong contenders this week. Matt Wallace (+2500) is a strong links performer, including a sixth at the rainy Alfred Dunhill Links Championship a few weeks back. He’s won twice at other Middle East locales and also remains a contender if the winds pick up—he picked up his first PGA Tour win earlier this year in the Dominican Republic, where a seaside breeze was a constant.

Ewen Ferguson, the defending champion, struggled for much of the summer but has come alive in recent weeks. He was 13th last week at the Andalucia Masters and also earned two top-10 finishes over his last four events.

Ryo Hisatsune is also coming from Japan, where he finished sixth in his home country’s only PGA Tour event of the year. The 21-year-old also isn’t far from his first DP World Tour win, which was at the Open de France last month.

Adrian Otageui has two top-10 finishes here in his last three appearances and is coming off a ninth in defense of his title at the Andalucia Masters last week. He has 10 top-10 finishes in Middle East events since 2020.

Qatar Masters Longshots

Just beneath that group is Robert MacIntyre, who is at +2700. The Scottish member of the Ryder Cup team also has 10 top-10 finishes in tournaments contested in the Middle East since 2020, which is tied with Otageui for those most in that span.

Antoine Rozner (+3000) won this event in 2021 but tied for 73rd here last year, when he started strong with a 68 but didn’t play his best golf after that. He took last week off and was 10th a few weeks ago in the links competition in Scotland.

Matthieu Pavon (+3500) comes in with perhaps the best form of anyone. He won the Open de Espana in Madrid two weeks ago, was ninth last week, and came in sixth the week before that at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. The fact that he is in 12th in the race to finish in the top 10 of eligible golfers to earn a spot on the PGA Tour will also serve as motivation to keep the hot streak going.

Pablo Larrazabal (+4000) hasn’t played well as of late, with just one top-20 finish in recent months, but he returns to a place where he’s historically been a strong performer. He was tied for fifth here last year and tied for fourth at Doha in 2018.

The good thing about an odds board like this is that there will be value with just about anyone. The tough part, as always, is identifying the winner. Look for golfers with plenty to play for, which includes Olesen, Ferguson, and Pavon. We also like Hisatsune and Larrazabal as picks with plenty of value.

DP World Tour’s 2023 Qatar Masters Odds from Jazzsports

Aaron Rai+1500
Thorbjorn Olesen+1800
Jordan Smith+2000
Alexander Bjork+2000
Rasmus Hojgaard+2000
Yannik Paul+2200
Adrian Otaegui+2500
Ewen Ferguson+2500
Marcel Siem+2500
Romain Langasque+2500
Matt Wallace+2500
Ryo Hisatsune+2500

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