FedEx St Jude Championship Odds, Field & Betting Picks

FedEx St Jude Championship Odds, Field & Betting Picks

After an exciting regular season, the 2023 FedEx Cup playoffs begin this weekend with the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Seventy golfers will play in this no-cut event, with the top 50 in the standings moving on to next week’s BMW Championship. Let’s take a look at the FedEx St Jude Championship Odds and our free golf betting picks.

PGA Tour Odds

Though it has gone through many different names and positions on the golf calendar, the PGA Tour in Memphis, Tennessee, dates back to 1958. TPC Southwind has held an event every year since 1989. Starting in 2019, the FedEx St. Jude Classic became a WGC invitational event, and in 2022, it took over for The Northern Trust as the first of three FedEx Cup playoff events to determine the annual champion.

Defending champion Will Zalatoris is out with an injury, 2020 winner Justin Thomas didn’t qualify for the playoffs, and other recent winners—Abraham Ancer, Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson, and Daniel Berger—are all part of LIV Golf now. In fact, the most recent winner in this year’s field is 2013 champion Harris English.  

The Course

TPC Southwind, in suburban Memphis, was built on a former dairy farm in 1988 and was designed by Ron Pritchard with help from former major winners Fuzzy Zoeller and Hubert Green. The par-70, 7,233-yard course features plenty of natural water hazards. In fact, the two par-3 holes on the back nine present serious challenges to players. The 162-yard 11th hole is an island green (but with some bunkers allowing for some shots that are a bit off), and the 14th is a whopping 239 yards. Plus, any shot that’s short or right will get wet. 

John Cook owns the course record at TPC Southwind, shooting a 26-under 258 here in 1996. Through three rounds, Cook had the lowest score in PGA Tour history at the time.

As They Have All Year, Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm Favored

Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm have combined for 10 wins on the PGA Tour this season, so it should come as no surprise that they are the three favorites this weekend. Scottie Scheffler (+650) is narrowly favored over the other two competitors despite being in a slump—by his lofty standards. Scheffler’s 23rd at The Open Championship was his worst finish of 2023, snapping a streak of seven top-five finishes in a row. On a more serious note, Scheffler also missed the cut in this event a year ago.

Rory McIlroy (+800) also missed the cut here last year but rebounded to win the Tour Championship two weeks later. He’s the most recent winner of the three, capturing the title at the Genesis Scottish Open last month before finishing tied for sixth at the British Open.  In all, since missing the cut at the Masters and placing 45th at the Wells Fargo Championship a month later, McIlroy is on a run of seven consecutive top 10 finishes, including strong finishes at the final three majors of the year.

Jon Rahm (+850) leads the PGA Tour in wins this year with four, but he hasn’t tasted victory since the Masters in April. Rahm, however, was strong at The Open Championship but was a distant second to Brian Harman, who won by six shots. Rahm also has two top 10s in three starts at TPC Southlake, including a fifth a year ago.

Other Contenders

Of the eight golfers from +1600 to +2500 in the odds, just two have tasted victory this year. Among those looking for their first win are 2021 FedEx Cup champ Patrick Cantlay (+1600) and Xander Schauffele (+1800). Cantlay is the highest in the standings among non-winners and has won at least one playoff event in each of the past two seasons. Cantlay was 57th here a year ago but does have two top-25 finishes in Memphis. Schauffele has one top 25 here and hasn’t logged a top 10 since the U.S. Open in June. 

The two winners among the odds leaders are Viktor Hovland (+2000) and Rickie Fowler (+2500). Hovland won the Memorial, placed in the top 20 in all four majors, and didn’t miss a cut all season. If anything, he will be consistent and has a top 20 from last year to build on.

Fowler has two top 15s here in his career and started last year with a first-round 65 before struggling over the weekend to place 64th. He was getting better and better all season before breaking through to win the Rocket Mortgage Classic last month. Fowler has finished out of the top 25 just three times since January. 

Like Zalatoris last year, will this be an opportune time for Tommy Fleetwood (+2500) to get his first PGA Tour win after being so close, so often this year? The Englishman has finished in the top 10 in four of his last five events, including a playoff loss at the RBC Canadian Open, a fifth at the U.S. Open and 10th at the British Open. 

Longshots

There’s not a lot of love for the two most-recent major winners: Wyndham Clark (+3000) and Brian Henley (+3500). Clark won the U.S. Open and another Designated Event, the Wells Fargo Championship. Henley comes in not only having won The Open Championship by six strokes, but he was also in third place here last year.

Lucas Glover (+7000) played his way into the field by winning the Wyndham Championship last week, but that was no fluke. Glover’s four top 10s in 2023 have come in his last five events, so he’s been on a hot streak since early July. And by the way, Glover also tied for third here last year.

Finally, Sepp Straka (+4500) could be the most underrated golfer going into this event. Not only did the Austrian win the John Deere Classic last month and tie for second at the British Open, but he also took Zalatoris to a playoff here last year.

Expect a big rebound from Scheffler, but we’re not sure we can back any of the three favorites. Instead, we’re looking at some value in Cantlay, Hovland, Fowler, and Fleetwood. For an underdog pick, we’ll go with Straka. 

2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship Golf Betting Odds by Jazzsports

GOLFERSODDS TO WIN 2023 FEDEX ST. JUDE CHAMPIONSHIP
Scottie Scheffler+650
Rory McIlroy+800
Jon Rahm+850
Patrick Cantlay+1600
Xander Schauffele+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Jordan Spieth+2500
Collin Morikawa+2500
Rickie Fowler+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500

Check the St Jude Championship Round 1 Recap & Round 2 Odds

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