John Deere Classic Odds, Field & Betting Pick

John Deere Classic Odds, Field & Betting Pick

With so many majors and designated events packing the PGA Tour schedule since March—and two more coming in the third and fourth weekends of July—many of the world’s top players are opting for a break instead of competing in this week’s John Deere Classic in Silvis, Illinois.

PGA Tour Odds

With only nine of the world’s top 50 golfers here, it opens up the tournament for several other players to earn a win and either build momentum for The Open Championship in two weeks or earn a crucial 500 FedEx Cup points and get into a good position for next month’s playoffs.

What was known as the Quad Cities Open became an official PGA Tour event in 1972. It began playing at TPC Deere Run in 2000. Steve Stricker won three in a row here from 2009-11 and is the last player to three-peat at the event. The trio of victories ties the record held by D.A. Weibring. Jordan Spieth, who won here as a teenager in 2013, is among those who are two-time winners here. 

2023 John Deere Classic Field and Favorites

TPC Deere Run is a par 71, 7,289-yard track and features bentgrass greens that often play true and allow players to avoid costly three-putts. In an effort to increase the difficulty, the course strategically placed bunkers in new locations for last year’s event, but Poston still won at 21-under. The par-4 18th is a fairly long 474-yard hole that sees its green protected by sand on the right and a long, narrow pond to the left. 

The tournament record was set here in 2018 by Michael Kim, who shot a 27-under 257 and won that year’s event by eight strokes. Poston’s 21-under 263 last year was right around what the winning score has been over the past decade (factoring out Kim’s run in 2018), but Poston did win the tournament by three strokes over both Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Emiliano Grillo. 

No Clear-Cut Favorite at TPC Deere Run

We have some golfers who have played well in recent weeks atop the odds board, but no one stands out from the pack. Among the four golfers at +1200, Denny McCarthy is in the best form. Like Rickie Fowler last week, McCarthy has had several close calls as of late and may be poised to break through this week. He finished sixth here last year and nearly pulled out a win at The Memorial Tournament last month. After that runner-up finish, he’s followed it up with a 20th and 17th

Russell Henley is a fairway machine, and that can equate to low scores here with the friendly greens. Henley was runner-up here in 2019 and came in 11th a year ago. Overall, he’s come in the top 20 in eight of his last nine starts, so he’s also in fine form.

Cameron Young was on the next-in-line-to-win-an-event list at this time in 2022, but the 2022 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year has endured a bit of a sophomore slump over the past few months. After a runner-up at the WGC-Match Play and a seventh at the Masters, it’s been tough sledding for the second-year pro. Young only has one top-50 finish—32nd at the U.S. Open Championship—in his last seven starts. He didn’t play in this event last year but had five top-three finishes from April through July 2022.

You might not be familiar with the name Ludvig Aberg, but the 23-year-old Swede hasn’t missed a cut in five starts this year. He scored back-to-back top 25s at the RBC Canadian Open and Travelers Championship and was third after two rounds in Detroit last week before settling for a 25th-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. With a weaker field, Aberg has the talent to hang with the leaders this weekend. 

Other Contenders

Adam Hadwin (+1800) had the putter going last week in Detroit and reached a playoff with Fowler and Collin Morikawa before falling short in his bid to score his first win since 2017. His higher-ranked challengers from last week are skipping this event, so Hadwin has a chance for another strong finish.

Adam Schenk (+2200) is probably the closest thing to a home-field advantage there is, and the Illinois native has proven to play well in the Midwest. He takes finishes of sixth and fourth over the past four years here with him to the TPC Deere Run and recently was seventh at The Memorial (Ohio) and seventh in Michigan last week. Schenk has been close to nabbing his first-career win, finishing in second place twice since March.

Emiliano Grillo (+3000) was three strokes behind the winner last year, but doing one better this year wouldn’t surprise anyone. His first top 10 this year didn’t come until his 10th event, but since then, he’s rattled off three of them—including a win at Colonial. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open but rebounded to finish 15th at the Travelers two weeks ago.

J.T. Poston (+3000) is at the same odds as Grillo, but it’s tough to see him have as good of a chance. Last year’s winner has missed the cut in three of his last four events.

Longshots

Chez Reavie (+6500) was in contention at the Travelers and wound up fourth after a bit of a disappointing final day. His results in Detroit weren’t as strong (29th), but his approach game there was strong. That will bode well here in Illinois.

Lucas Glover (+8000) hasn’t made much noise since winning here two years ago, but he has shown signs of life after coming in fourth at the Rocket Mortgage Classic after changing up his putting stroke. A boost of confidence and a return to a course that he’s been victorious on is a good combination.

2023 John Deere Classic Odds

Of the four favorites, we will back McCarthy, followed by Hadwin and Schenk. We’ll also take the value with Grillo and Glover. 

Here are the latest golf odds from JazzSports for the PGA Tour’s 2023 John Deere Classic.

GOLFERSODDS TO WIN 2023 JOHN DEERE CLASSIC
Cameron Young+1200
Denny McCarthy+1200
Russell Henley+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1200
Adam Hadwin+1800
Chris Kirk+2200
Keith Mitchell+2200
Adam Schenk+2200
J.T. Poston+3000
Emiliano Grillo+3000
Seamus Power+3000
Taylor Moore+3000
Christian Bezuidenhout+3000

Check out the 2023 John Deere Classic Round 1 & 2 Highlights

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