LIV Golf Jeddah Odds & Betting Predictions

LIV Golf Jeddah Odds & Betting Predictions

Cameron Smith in Driver’s Seat to Win LIV Season Title, but Bryson DeChambeau Favored in LIV Golf Jeddah Odds

Cameron Smith has a slim lead over Talor Gooch in the race for the 2023 LIV Golf season championship and the $18 million bonus that comes with it. Bryson DeChambeau has an outside shot at the title, and he’s the betting favorite going into this event. 

LIV Golf Odds

The Royal Greens Golf and Country Club will play host to the 54-hole tournament, and there’s some solid history to draw on here.

In addition to LIV’s event here last October, which was won by Brooks Koepka in a playoff, the Saudi Invitational has been held here in each of the past five seasons. This past February, Abraham Ancer was victorious in the Asian Tour tournament that featured most of the LIV Golf roster and also some PGA Tour players. 

The Course

The Royal Greens Golf and Country Club is a par-70, 7,010-yard course. Winds off the Red Sea can make the course more difficult, and some moderate winds this week could add to the challenge but also help with the temperatures, which are expected to be in the upper 90s Fahrenheit all week. Strategically placed water hazards and sand traps are the biggest challenge here. Dustin Johnson’s 19-under 261 in 2019 is the 72-hole record on this course. Koepka won the 54-hole LIV event with a -12 last year.

DeChambeau Favored as He Looks for Third Win in Last Four Events

Bryson DeChambeau (+800) is favored based off his recent run of two wins in his last three events. He has not been strong in Jeddah, as evidenced by a missed cut in February, but the big hitter has shown a big improvement in his game as he returned to health this spring. Since recording a top 10 at the Masters, DeChambeau has four top-10 finishes—including the two wins and a runner-up—in his last six LIV events

For the season-long title, he comes in 24 points behind Smith and 16 in arrears of Gooch. A win is worth 40 points, while second is worth 30, so a victory is his best (and just about only) chance to win the championship. 

Other Contenders

Cameron Smith (+1000) had an opportunity to lock up the title as the defending champion of LIV Golf Chicago last month, but he didn’t earn any points in a surprising 40th-place finish. Now, the only way he is guaranteed to win the title without worrying where Gooch finishes is by winning. The points breakdown drops considerably after that, so as long as he’s close to Gooch on the leaderboard, chances are that Smith will win. Will that affect his strategy here? Unlikely, as the Australian goes for his third win of the season and would be the career LIV leader with four if he does so. But Smith also missed the cut here in February, so the potential for championship drama is high.

Talor Gooch (+1400) has longer odds but has been the man to beat in LIV events outside the United States this year. He has wins in Australia, Singapore, and Spain. He’s coming off his only top 10 in the U.S., a seventh in Chicago, the last time out. He also had a better effort on this course in February than his other two championship contenders, tying for 12th. A win here guarantees him the championship.

A couple of other winners here are high on the odds board, including Dustin Johnson (+1100), who we mentioned is the course record-holder in a four-round event. Johnson did not duplicate his domination of this series from last year, but he does have four top-10 finishes, including a win, over his last seven starts. He didn’t play this year’s Saudi International, but he has two wins and a runner-up in that tournament. 

Abraham Ancer (+1400) has an excellent history in Jeddah: a win and two other top 10s in the Saudi International to go with a 10th-place finish in the 2022 LIV event. He also is enjoying some fine form at the moment, scoring his only top 10s of the year for LIV with a third and eighth in his last two starts. Ancer currently stands in 26th place, and non-captains need to finish in the top 24 to guarantee that they remain on their team for the 2024 season. 

Joaquin Niemann (+1800), along with Patrick Reed (+2000), is possibly the most-talented golfer yet to win a LIV event. After a terrible start to the season (sub-30 finishes in three of the first four events), he’s become a solid hand, with four top 10s in eight events and only one finish that wasn’t in the top half of the field. His confidence will be high here after a 10th in February.

Brooks Koepka (+1800) began his comeback here last year, winning in a playoff over Peter Uihlein. He followed that up with another win in Orlando in April, a runner-up at the Masters, and a win at the PGA Championship. Since then, it’s been a little thin for Koepka, but he did win a singles match at the Ryder Cup a couple of weeks ago. 

LIV Golf Jeddah Longshots

Anirban Lahiri (+2500) is not a big longshot, but there’s some value here given that he stands 10th in the standings by virtue of his runner-up and third-place finishes in the last two tournaments. He also has a runner-up result from earlier this season and placed 12th here in February, so we like the combination of course history and great recent form. 

Harold Varner III (+2800) is a winner both at Jeddah (2022) and LIV (Washington, D.C. this past June). He’s hoping the familiar venue will turn his luck around after carding just one top-10 finish in his last five LIV starts.

Richard Bland (+5000) finished 28th here in February but started with back-to-back 67s before finishing with two rounds at even par. He comes in as one of the most consistent golfers on the LIV circuit; look at his last four results: sixth, third, 11th, and ninth. 

2023 LIV Golf Jeddah Odds

DeChambeau seemed miffed at missing out on the Ryder Cup, so we expect him to be ready to go. Smith and Gooch are also motivated to win. Expect Johnson to remind everyone of his place in the golf world, and we like the value with Ancer and Lahiri. 

Here are the latest Golf odds from JazzSports for the 2023 LIV Golf Jeddah event. 

GOLFERODDS TO WIN LIV GOLF JEDDAH
Bryson DeChambeau+800
Cameron Smith+1000
Dustin Johnson+1100
Abraham Ancer+1400
Talor Gooch+1400
Joaquin Niemann+1800
Brooks Koepka+1800
Mito Pereira+1800
Patrick Reed+2000
Sebastian Munoz+2000

Check out the 2022 LIV Jeddah Recap

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