LIV Golf London Odds, Field & Predictions

LIV Golf London Odds, Field & Predictions

LIV Golf Returns to London as Several Players Tune Up for the Open Championship

For the first time, LIV Golf returns to a course it held a tournament at in 2022 for LIV Golf London this weekend. It’s been a busy few days for many of the LIV contingent. After playing at Valderrama in Spain last weekend, several players attempted to qualify for the Open Championship on Tuesday, and now they will be teeing off in London starting on Friday.

This is the first event where there is some history to draw on. Last year, the South African contingent dominated here. Charl Schwartzel was the winner, followed by Hennie Du Plessis and Branden Grace. The Stinger GC team, comprised of those three and Louis Oosthuizen (who finished 11th) won the team portion of the event.

Six golfers in the 48-man field are from the United Kingdom.

The Course

Centurion Golf Club opened in 2013 and has played host to some events on the DP World Tour and Ladies European Tour. The course totals just under 7,100 yards and features more woodland than you typically see in UK golf courses. What we’re saying is that this is not a links course. Trees and woods are in play for holes 1-5, while there are more bunker and water hazards from 6-13, and then finishes back off in the woods for the final five holes. Three of the four par-5 holes on the par-72 course are on the back nine.

Schwartzel’s winning score last year was a 7-under 203 over the 54 holes that is LIV’s standard. Just eight golfers finished last year’s event under par. Driving distance and driving accuracy were key stats in Schwartzel’s win.

Will DeChambeau Break Through This Week?

Bryson DeChambeau (+1000)

Got off to a slow start in his LIV career, but after finishing fourth at the PGA Championship, he’s been on a roll. After two top-10 finishes, he led at the turn in the final round at Valderrama last week, but Talor Gooch chased him down and won thanks to a birdie on the final hole to win. The big hitter was not a part of the field here last year since he was recovering from an injury. Some of Centurion’s tight fairways will be a challenge for DeChambeau.

Brooks Koepka (+800)

Who also didn’t compete here in 2022. The 2023 PGA Championship winner was third in Spain last week for his third top-six finish in his last four events. He’s second in points to Talor Gooch (+1100), who has won three of the last five events to become the only three-time winner in LIV history. Gooch has also won all three events held outside of North America this season and already won in back-to-back weeks in April. Gooch finished ninth here last year.

Cameron Smith and Dustin Johnson (+1000)

As is the case for most LIV events, Cameron Smith and Dustin Johnson (both +1000) are among the favorites. Smith was 12th and Johnson was ninth at Valderrama. While Smith was on the PGA Tour at this time last year, he won the 2022 Open Championship and will be defending his title in the coming weeks. Johnson finished eighth at Centurion last season.

Other LIV Golf London Contenders

Patrick Reed (+1500)

Was fifth last week and is poised for his first win on the LIV tour. He will also be ready for the Open Championship, as he was fourth at the Masters and played well at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open as well.

Branden Grace (+2000)

Slipped last week in a 31st-place finish but returns to a course he played excellently at a year ago. Prior to the tough finish in Spain, he rattled off two-straight top-three finishes. In addition, Grace played well enough on Tuesday to qualify for the Open Championship at Royal Liverpool.

Sergio Garcia (+2000)

Finished 11th at Valderrama—a disappointment for him given that he had played so well there in the past. The Spaniard then was in position to qualify for the Open Championship but faltered down the stretch to miss the field by one stroke. It will be the first Open without Garcia since 1997. Expect him to take his frustrations out on Centurion this weekend.

Sebastian Munoz (+2000)

Has climbed up to sixth in the season standings after logging back-to-back fourth-place finishes in his last two outings.

LIV Golf London Longshots

Dean Burmester (+2500), Louis Oosthuizen (+4000), and Charl Schwartzel (+12500) have something in common: South African heritage that was big here last year. Schwartzel came through by qualifying for the Open on Tuesday, so he comes in with some momentum despite having only one LIV top 10 this year. Oosthuizen has two top 10s but is two years removed from setting the 18-, 36-, and 54-hole record at the Open Championship before losing to Collin Morikawa. Of the three, Burmester is playing the best golf. He has top-15 runs in five of his last six tournaments, including a third and a pair of eighths. Burmester didn’t play here last year, but the course plays to his strength: he leads LIV Golf in driving distance this season.

A non-South African longshot is Jason Kokrak (+3000). He’s further down in the standings than he should be because he missed the event in Washington, D.C. But he’s been extremely consistent in the golf he has played, finishing in the top12 in five consecutive starts, including a sixth at Valderrama last week.

The momentum lies with DeChambeau, who appears ready to break through. We also like Smith, Gooch, Grace, Burmester, and Kokrak to become the king of LIV Golf in London—the final three coming with excellent value along with it.

2023 LIV Golf London Odds by Jazzsports

Brooks Koepka+800
Cameron Smith+1000
Dustin Johnson+1000
Bryson DeChambeau+1000
Talor Gooch+1200
Patrick Reed+1500
Mito Pereira+2000
Joaquin Niemann+2000
Branden Grace+2000
Sebastian Munoz+2000
Sergio Garcia+2000

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