LIV Golf Tucson Odds & Picks

LIV Golf Tucson Odds & Picks

The second LIV Golf tournament of the 14-event 2023 schedule takes place in the Arizona desert starting on Friday for LIV Golf Tucson. Charles Howell III won the series’ first event of 2023 at Mayakoba in Mexico three weeks ago as a substantial underdog. Will we see another longshot prevail, or will one of the typical favorites win in the desert? Here are the latest LIV Golf Tucson Odds.

The Course

The Gallery Golf Club in Tucson, Arizona hosts this event. While it has not been a stop on the PGA Tour, it hosted the WGC Match Play tournament in both 2007 and ’08. The first of those two events were won by LIV pro Henrik Stenson, and he reached the semifinals the following year, which saw Tiger Woods win the tournament. 

The Gallery is a par 71 and is quite long at 7,469 yards. Two par 5s are close to 600 yards, and there are four par 4s that sit around 500 yards each. But with the course being in the desert and a fair bit above sea level, the ball should travel a bit further than normal as well.

Smith Favored Ahead of Johnson After Questions Arise

Cameron Smith (+1000) is narrowly favored ahead of both Dustin Johnson (+1100) and Joaquin Niemann (+1100) going into this event. Johnson, who dominated the circuit in 2022, withdrew from his first tournament of 2023 (The Saudi International) and tumbled down the leaderboard during the final round in Mexico, where he shot a +7, and wound up 37th

Smith, meanwhile, overcame a missed-cut in Saudi Arabia to wind up sixth at Mayakoba, so he’s in a bit better form than Johnson. Niemann overcame a +3 in the opening round in Mexico to shoot a combined -7 in the final two rounds to end up 11th

Other Contenders

We’re looking at both good form as of late along with success in the desert for our other picks. Paul Casey (+1200) led after the first round at Mayakoba and wound up fourth. He also played in both Match Play events here, faring decently in both years.

Patrick Reed (+1800) is a solid desert golfer, most recently finishing second to Rory McIlroy in Dubai on the DP World Tour in January. 

Branden Grace (+2500) won the first LIV event in the U.S. last year, was third in Mexico, and also has a runner-up finish at nearby TPC Scottsdale on the PGA Tour’s WM Phoenix Open. His other feats on desert courses include two wins in Qatar, two fifth-place runs in Abu Dhabi, and four top 10s in Dubai. 

Peter Uihlein (+2500) was runner-up to Howell III in Mexico for his third second-place finish of his LIV career (Chicago and Jeddah last year). When golfers knock on the door that many times, it’s typically only a matter of time until they’re victorious.

2023 LIV Golf Tucson Odds

We’ll favor Smith of the top favorites and then back value picks Reed, Grace, and Uihlein for LIV Golf’s second event of 2023. 

Cameron Smith+1000
Dustin Johnson+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1100
Abraham Ancer+1200
Paul Casey+1200
Talor Gooch+1500
Charles Howell III+1800
Mito Pereira+1800
Patrick Reed+1800
Carlos Ortiz / Matthew Wolff / Sergio Garcia+2000

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