RSM Classic Odds, Field & Betting Picks

RSM Classic Odds, Field & Betting Picks

Rookie Aberg Favored Over Open Championship Winner Harman at RSM Classic. Check the 2023 RSM Classic Odds, Field and our Betting Picks here.

PGA Tour Odds

The final FedEx Cup points event of 2023 takes place this weekend, as the RSM Classic wraps up the PGA Tour Fall season. In addition to players having one last chance to earn a win and a spot in next year’s majors, the top 10 in the Fall series will be decided. Those players will receive an entry into the first two Signature Events of the 2024 schedule: The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational. 

This is the 14th edition of the event, and Robert Streb is the only two-time winner. Canadian Adam Svensson is the defending champion, winning in 2022 by two strokes over Brian Harman, Sahith Theegala, and Callum Tarren. There has never been a back-to-back winner here, but Svennson will try to change that. 

The Course

The tournament has been played at Sea Island Golf Club since its inception in 2010. Since 2015, the first two rounds have been contested on both the Seaside (par 70) and Plantation (par 72) courses after the field expanded to a full 156 players. Seaside hosts rounds three and four after the 36-hole cut. 

The geographical features of the low country come into play here, as the courses have marshes and sandy waste areas throughout. The signature hole on the Seaside course is the par-4, 407-yard 16th. A creek runs along the left side of the fairway, but the further right you go, the longer it is to shoot into the well-protected green. Sand is the main hazard on No. 17, and water is in play throughout the final hole.

In 2021, Talor Gooch tied the tournament record of a 22-under 260 that was originally set by Kevin Kisner in 2015. Svensson’s winning score last year was -19.

Aberg Favored for Second Time This Fall

Ludvig Aberg (+1100) is the favorite again after topping the odds board two weeks ago at the World Wide Technology Championship, where he finished 10th after charging up the leaderboard with a 64 on the final day. He did something similar in Las Vegas, closing with a 62 to place 13th. The week before that, he lost a playoff at the Sanderson Farms Championship, and he also has a DP World Tour win and a Ryder Cup victory on his resume since turning pro over the summer. Aberg already accomplished one goal of moving into the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to earn his tour card for next year, but a win will put him in the top 60 in the FedEx Cup and also into the top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking

Other Contenders

Brian Harman (+1400), a Georgia native who was runner-up a year ago, will be one of Aberg’s primary challengers. The Open Championship winner hasn’t teed it up since a 2-2-0 performance at the Ryder Cup. Since missing his last cut at the Memorial in June, Harman has four top-10 finishes in eight starts, including the major win, a runner-up at the Travelers Championship, and a fifth at the BMW Championship.

Corey Conners (+2000) has been the picture of consistency here, placing in the top 25 in his last three starts at Sea Island. He hasn’t played since the PGA Tour Championship, but he is coming off two top-10s in the FedEx Cup playoffs and has three top-10s in his last six starts overall.

Alex Noren (+2250) nearly took home his first PGA Tour win in Bermuda last week, but it wasn’t a one-time thing because the Swede has two top-three results in his last three starts. He’s also played in this event four times, coming home with a top-10 finish in 2019. 

Justin Suh (+2500) is one of the players who can move into the top 60 in the standings if he can keep up his solid form this fall. Suh led after three rounds at the ZOZO Championship last month before settling for a 10th-place result. He rebounded from that disappointment by coming in fourth two weeks later in Mexico, so he will continue to look to build on that career-best finish this week.

J.T. Poston (+2750) is one of the most consistent golfers in the field, racking up five top 10s in his last eight starts, including a third in Las Vegas in his only Fall start. Poston’s summer surge moved him into the top 50 in the FedEx Cup standings, so he’s qualified for all of next year’s big events—leaving him to focus on picking up his first win of 2023.

Eric Cole (+2750) was able to check off several boxes in his first full year on the PGA Tour, including finishing in the top 50 in the standings. But the likely Rookie of the Year is hunting for his first win, and he’s been extremely close in the Fall schedule. Three of his four starts in this stretch yielded finishes in the top four, including a runner-up in his last start. 

Longshots

After his runner-up finish marked his best result in nine years, Camilo Villegas (+4750) was still written off, entering the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at +11000. But Villegas did one better and won that event. His odds aren’t as long this week, but it’s still a nice number for the hottest golfer in the field.

Following a mostly horrendous season, Billy Horschel (+3250) is looking to build on some momentum that he’s attained since August. Eligible for the 2024 season based on his win at the Memorial in 2022, Horschel’s attempts to rediscover his game after he sat 119th in the standings following his missed up at The Open Championship. Since then, Horschel was 13th at the 3M Open, fourth at the Wyndham Championship, and had three top-20 finishes in four events this fall on the DP World Tour. He hasn’t played in this event since 2020 but was the runner-up here in 2016.

2023 RSM Classic Odds

Aberg’s shown the ability to play well on Sunday, which will serve him well if he’s in contention here. We like him and Harman among the higher favorites and will take Suh, Poston, and Cole in the next tier. Horschel is our underdog pick; we like Villegas, but it’s tough to remain locked in after a big win just a few days ago.

Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the PGA Tour’s 2023 RSM Classic.

GOLFERODDS TO WIN 2023 RSM CLASSIC
Ludvig Aberg+1100
Cameron Young+1400
Brian Harman+1400
Russell Henley+1800
Corey Conners+2000
Alex Noren+2250
Si Woo Kim+2500
Justin Suh+2500
J.T. Poston+2750
Eric Cole+2750

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