Ryder Cup Odds, Field & Betting Prediction

Ryder Cup Odds, Field & Betting Prediction

The Ryder Cup, one of the most anticipated golf tournaments in its two-year cycle, is upon us. After months’ worth of debates as to which players were worthy of inclusion—along with who was snubbed from the team—it’s nearly time to tee off in Italy. Here the 2023 Ryder Cup Odds and our betting prediction.

PGA Tour Odds

This is the 44th Ryder Cup, and while the U.S. team has the most wins overall, they have won just two times in the past six tournaments and only three of the last nine. In 2021, the U.S. team set a record with a 19-9 thrashing of Team Europe at Whistling Straits in Wisconsin. 

The last time the event was held in Europe, the European team won in Paris by another lopsided score of 17.5-10.5. The U.S. team is looking to win in Europe for the first time since 1993. 

The Course

The golf course at Marco Simone was built in 1989 and refreshed in 2020 in anticipation of this Ryder Cup. It’s a par-71, 7,268-yard course, and the track has drawn some complaints over several greens that can’t be seen on the approach shot. Because of that, Greens in Regulation is an important stat here.

The Italian Open has been contested here each year since 2021. Two champions of that event—Robert MacIntyre and Nicolai Hojgaard—are a part of the European team this week. MacIntyre’s score of a 14-under 270 has been the best score on the course in that span. 

Format

The Ryder Cup is a three-day competition consisting of several different rounds of match play.

There are eight matches each played on Friday and Saturday and then 12 matches contested on Sunday. The winner of each match (most holes won over 18 holes) earns a point for his team. In the case of a tie, each team earns one-half point.

There are four fourball matches and four foursomes matches on Friday and Saturday. A fourball match is when all four golfers play their own ball throughout the hole, and the better score between the two teammates becomes that twosome’s score on the hole. A foursome match is also contested with teams of two, but the teammates play one ball and alternate shots. The team captain determines which eight golfers in the team of 12 will participate in the first two days.

On Sunday, all 12 golfers from each side square off in singles matches that are scored in a match-play format, so the winner of the most holes earns a point for their team. 

A total of 28 points can be won in the tournament, and the winner is determined by cumulative points after play concludes on Sunday. In the event that each team earns 14 points, it’s a tie and the Ryder Cup itself stays in the possession of the team who won the previous tournament. 

Ryder Cup Odds Tighten After Teams Are Announced

Prior to the teams being constructed, the United States was hovering as a decent favorite (-150). Since the teams were announced, the odds have tightened to -110 for the American team and +100 for the Europeans. The reason is that many felt there was great value in the European side since seven of the 12 team members own a top-10 finish at Marco Simone. On the other hand, no one on the U.S. team has played on the course. Nine players on the U.S. team did go to Rome for two practice rounds a few weeks ago, but the European team topped that with all 12 of their members taking part in practice sessions at the Italian course. 

How Do the Teams Line Up?

The teams are comprised of six automatic qualifiers and six Captain’s Picks for each side. The American team is captained by former Masters winner Zach Johnson. Luke Donald heads up the European club.

European Team Automatic Qualifiers

Rory McIlroy: No. 2 golfer in the world, two worldwide wins in 2023.

Jon Rahm: Six worldwide wins over the past year, including the 2023 Masters.

Viktor Hovland: 2022-23 PGA Tour FedEx Cup champion, three wins in 2023. 

Matt Fitzpatrick: 2022 U.S. Open and 2023 RBC Heritage winner.

Tyrrell Hatton: Seven top-10 finishes on PGA Tour, including runner-up at The Players Championship.

Robert MacIntyre: 2022 Italian Open champion at Marco Simone and runner-up at 2023 Scottish Open.

European Team Captain’s Picks

Tommy Fleetwood: Won a DP World Tour event last fall and did everything but win on the PGA Tour this year: playoff loss at Canadian Open, top-five at U.S. Open, top-10 at PGA Tour Championship.

Sepp Straka: Two top-10 finishes in majors plus a win at the John Deere Classic.

Justin Rose: Broke a four-year losing streak by winning at Pebble Beach to reach his sixth Ryder Cup.

Shane Lowry: Didn’t reach FedEx Cup playoffs, but 2022 BMW PGA Champion was third at Irish Open.

Nicolai Hojgaard: Won at Marco Simone in 2021, was runner-up at PGA’s Puntacana Championship.

Ludvig Aberg: Just turned pro in June and already has a DP World Tour win (European Masters) along with four top-25 finishes on the PGA Tour, including a fourth at the John Deere Classic. 

Team USA Automatic Qualifiers

Scottie Scheffler: The No. 1 golfer in the world, but he was unable to win the FedEx Cup as the starting strokes leader in each of the past two years. Six wins since early 2022 and 2-0-1 in 2021 Ryder Cup.

Wyndham Clark: Clark’s career year included a U.S. Open win, a victory at the Wells Fargo Championship, and a third-place finish at the PGA Tour Championship.

Brian Harman: Closed out 2022 with back-to-back runner-up finishes then dominated at The Open Championship, winning by six strokes.

Patrick Cantlay: Winless in 2023 but 3-0 on Team USA since 2020, including the 2021 Ryder Cup.

Xander Schauffele: No wins but just one finish outside the top 25 since March, including a runner-up at PGA Tour Championship.

Max Homa: Ryder Cup rookie but was 4-0 at last year’s Presidents Cup and has five PGA Tour wins since the beginning of 2021. 

Team USA Captain’s Picks

Jordan Spieth: No wins in 2023 but an experience pick, as he prepares for his fifth Ryder Cup.

Collin Morikawa: Win drought nearing two years, but a playoff loss at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and a sixth in the PGA Tour Championship mean that he may be regaining his dominant form.

Brooks Koepka: The lone LIV Golf rep in the Ryder Cup, Koepka nearly automatically qualified by winning the PGA Championship and finishing runner-up at the Masters. Also had a LIV win in April.

Sam Burns: Won the WGC-Match Play in March, so the format will suit him well. 

Ricky Fowler: After missing the Ryder Cup in 2021, Fowler was back with a vengeance in 2023, breaking a five-year win drought in July and was the 54-hole leader at the U.S. Open before finishing fifth.

Justin Thomas: No wins since the 2022 PGA Championship and missed the playoffs for the first time in his career, but Thomas’s 6-2-1 Ryder Cup record was a big consideration to offset the inexperience in other parts of the squad. Thomas finished fourth at the Fortinet Championship two weeks ago, so he may be turning the corner. 

2023 Ryder Cup Odds

The odds here have some strong trends going in the favor of Team Europe. We mentioned the gap closing significantly when the teams were announced, but the Europeans going in as slight underdogs leads to these two markers: The U.S. team has lost five Ryder Cups in a row when they are the betting favorites, and five of Europe’s last seven wins have come from the underdog spot. 

Here, they are the slightest of underdogs and our bet to win this week in Italy. Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the 2023 Ryder Cup.

GOLFERSODDS TO WIN 2023 RYDER CUP
United States-110
Europe+100
Tie+1200

Check the 2023 Ryder Cup Foursomes Results & more

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