Can Scheffler or McIlroy Win in Scotland Prior to Next Week’s Open Championship? Take a look at our Free Golf betting picks and the 2023 Scottish Open Odds here!
The Genesis Scottish Open is an appetizer of sorts for the main event the following week—the 151st Open Championship at Royal Liverpool.
This week, the Scottish Open marks one of the joint events between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. Seventy-five golfers from each league will be participating in one of the DPWT’s Rolex Series events. It also pays 500 FedEx Cup points to the winner.
Last year’s purse of $8 million was one of the highest for a non-major, but with the advent of “designated events” on the PGA Tour this season, featuring purses at $20 million, the $9 million purse this week in Scotland is more in line with a mid-level PGA Tour event. Nonetheless, the vast majority of the world’s top golfers are taking part before they head to England for the final major of the year.
Since 2019, the Scottish Open has been held at Renaissance Golf Club near Edinburgh. The course, par 71 and measuring 7,303 yards, was created by an American group but it is fully a Scottish course—it was created as a tribute to Scottish golf. It’s a coastal course that can see the wind pick up on it, which happened in 2022 for the first time during this tournament.
Xander Schauffele’s win at -7 was the highest winning score at Renaissance. Min Woo Lee won here at -18 in 2021, Aaron Rai shot -11 in 2020, and in 2019, Bernd Wiesberger topped Benjamin Hebert in a playoff after both shot -22, which is the tournament record to par.
Many of the top golf tournaments in 2023 have seen the trio of Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm posted as favorites. Rahm is taking this week off, so Scheffler is favored at +650 with McIlroy not far behind at +800.
McIlroy didn’t play here last year while Scheffler shockingly missed the cut. That doesn’t seem likely this year, given that Scheffler hasn’t finished outside of the top 12 in 2023. More recently, while he doesn’t have a win over his last six tournaments, his worst finish is fifth.
McIlroy had a near-miss at the U.S. Open by finishing second to Wyndham Clark, but make no mistake about it: the slump he was in during the spring is a thing of the past. The Northern Irishman has five straight finishes inside the top 10 as he looks to round into form to try—yet again—to snap his major drought next week.
Patrick Cantlay (+1200) finished fourth here last year and is coming off a fourth at the Travelers Championship. He appears here with two weeks’ worth of rest, which should be a help. Despite not having a win in 2023, he’s logged four top 10s in his last seven starts and has only missed one cut all year.
Xander Schauffele (+1400) returns to the site of his most-recent win, where he had a big lead going into Sunday after shooting back-to-back 65s before hanging on to hold off Kurt Kitayama by one stroke. Schauffele, who was 10th here in 2021 in his only other Scottish Open, has five top-five finishes this year and has come in the top 25 in his last 10 events. Included in that is a runner-up finish against a strong field at the Wells Fargo Championship.
Rickie Fowler (+1500) took last week off after winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic, so the chances of a letdown are diminished. And that win was no fluke; Fowler’s worst finish in his last five events is a 13th at the Travelers Championship, and he was the 54-hole co-leader at the U.S. Open.
It’s now time to focus on some Europeans in the field, starting with Viktor Hovland (+1500). The Norwegian won the Memorial Tournament last month but missed the cut last year in his first appearance. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Matt Fitzpatrick (+1900) has done everything here but win. The RBC Heritage winner has three top-15 finishes in this event, including a playoff loss in 2021.
Two Englishmen who seem poised for their first PGA Tour win are both at +2000: Tyrrell Hatton and Tommy Fleetwood. Fleetwood, who lost a playoff at the RBC Canadian Open and followed that up with a fifth at the U.S. Open, also reached a playoff here in 2020. Fleetwood is also a six-time winner on the DPWT. Hatton has also been impressive here, logging no finish worse than 25th in three events, and he has five finishes inside the top five since March, including a runner-up at The Players Championship.
U.S. Open winner Wyndham Clark is at +3000, but before his win in last month’s major, he also claimed victory in the Wells Fargo Championship, which was another designated event. With two wins in his last five starts—along with a respectable 16th here a year ago—Clark has great value this week.
Min Woo Lee (+2800), the winner in 2021, missed the cut last year but is coming in with much better form this time around. Lee is coming off back-to-back top 10s at the U.S. Open and Travelers and was in contention to win The Players before a final-round 76 sent him down to sixth on the final leaderboard.
Tom Kim (+4000) made a final-round charge here, shooting a 65 to finish two shots behind Schauffele and put his name on the map. He won just a month later. He has had a bit of a sophomore slump, but a strong finish at the U.S. Open could propel him forward.
McIlroy has had two weeks off and in his native Europe, so we favor him a bit more over Scheffler and Cantlay. Schauffele has been so consistent and is the defending champ. We’re also backing Fleetwood, Hatton, and 2021 winner Min Woo Lee.
Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the DP World Tour’s 2023 Genesis Scottish Open.
|ODDS TO WIN 2023 GENESIS SCOTTISH OPEN
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