Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds & analysis
The Butterfield Bermuda Championship carries more importance in the fifth edition of the tournament than it has in the past. Check out the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds and betting picks here!
Players who finished outside the top 50 in last season’s FedEx Cup standings have just two more opportunities to earn points and make their way into “The Next 10,” which will qualify them for the first two signature events of 2024: The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational. In addition, a winner of this event can qualify for all of the majors next year along with several other big events, such as The Players Championship and Sentry Tournament of Champions.
Last year’s winner was Seamus Power, who won’t be defending his title due to a hip injury. The other winners here (Brendon Todd, Brian Gay, and Lucas Herbert) will be competing this week to become the first two-time winner of this tournament.
The Course
Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton Parish has been the host of this event since its inception. Todd holds the course record of a 24-under 260 set in the inaugural edition of the tournament. The winning score was -19 last year and the previous two years were -15.
The differences in those winning scores can be attributed to the wind, which can either make this coastal course docile or a beast. Golfer Aaron Wise has said that a drive can go 50 yards longer or shorter than it did the day before depending on how the wind is blowing. Power’s winning score of 19-under par came despite only shooting -1 in the final round thanks to windy conditions.
The course is the second-shortest on the PGA Tour at 6,828 yards and is a par 71, but it can obviously play longer on a windy day. The par-3 16th is a signature hole and a difficult one as well. It measures 235 yards and requires the golfer to fly the Atlantic Ocean on the tee shot.
2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Betting Analysis
Scott Narrowly Favored With Good Value All-Around
Adam Scott (+1400) made a run at trying to get into the top-70 of the FedEx Cup standings but fell just short with a seventh at the Wyndham Championship in August. Since then, he’s played once on the PGA Tour, finishing 41st at the ZOZO Championship in Japan. He’s also making his debut in this event, and it’s coming up on four years since his last win on tour, so we’re fading Scott at this price.
Three golfers at +1600 are worth a look: Akshay Bhatia, Thomas Detry, and Brendon Todd. Bhatia comes here for a second time after finishing 17th a year ago. In addition to a win in July at the Barracuda Championship (an alternate event opposite The Open Championship), Bhatia has performed well in tropical locales, including a runner-up in Puerto Rico, fourth in the Mexico Open at Vidanta, and a 10th last week at El Cardonal.
Detry was runner-up to Power here in 2022, was eighth at the Corales Puntacana Championship in the Dominican Republic, and placed an admirable 13th at The Open Championship, so the Belgian has shown an affinity for seaside courses, regardless of the weather. Also on the line for Detry is a spot in The Next 10, as he currently is two positions away from the final transfer spot.
Todd will be focused on winning here again. He’s already locked into all the big events next year by placing in the top 50 in the standings. He’s also coming in well-rested, having only competed in the Fortinet Championship this fall, where he placed sixth.
Other Contenders
Lucas Glover (+1800) played last week for the first time since his stirring FedEx Cup playoff run, where he won back-to-back tournaments in August. He just made the cut last week in Mexico and did the same here a year ago, so it appears Glover has cooled off slightly, but with five top-six finishes since July, he has to be given some consideration.
Lucas Herbert (+1800) plays this course for the first time since his 2021 win after sitting out last year’s tournament. The 27-year-old’s only top 10 of the season was in the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, but he does have a win on the DP World Tour circuit.
Alex Noren (+2000) picks his shots, but he typically plays well when he competes. He’s cashed in three of four fall events so far, including a third at the Shriners Children’s Open last month. He had two other top 15s over the summer and was 15th in his only appearance at Port Royal.
Luke List (+2250) picked up a win at the Sanderson Farms Championship last month, but he’s still one spot away from getting into The Next 10 to guarantee him some more big events for 2024. This will be List’s fifth event of the fall—the previous four netted three top-25 finishes and a 45th last week in Mexico.
Taylor Pendrith (+2500) had a rough Sunday that cost him a win here two years ago, but he holds the 18-hole course record with a 61 before winding up fifth that year. The Canadian has also rebounded from a string of missed cuts over the summer to finish third in Las Vegas and 15th in Mexico in his two most recent starts.
Longshots
With so much value at the top of the odds board, it’s tough to hone in on an underdog, but Camilo Villegas (+11000) had his best finish in seven years last week by tying for second at the World Wide Technology Championship.
Despite being 51 years old, Brian Gay (+20000) has this place figured out. Along with the win in 2020, his worst finish here in four tries is 12th. He’s only made one cut in 12 events since last year’s Butterfield, but bet against him at your own risk.
2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds
Among the golfers at the top of the odds board, we favor Detry, Bhatia, and Glover—all of whom would deliver a solid payday. Pendrith gives us even more value, and we can’t resist a flier on Gay.
Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the PGA Tour’s 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
| GOLFER | ODDS TO WIN 2023 BUTTERFIELD BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP |
| Adam Scott | +1400 |
| Thomas Detry | +1600 |
| Brendon Todd | +1600 |
| Akshay Bhatia | +1600 |
| Lucas Glover | +1800 |
| Lucas Herbert | +1800 |
| Alex Noren | +2000 |
| Ben Griffin | +2000 |
| Luke List | +2250 |
| Taylor Pendrith / Alex Smalley | +2500 |
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