The FedEx Cup Playoffs begin this week at The Northern Trust at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, New Jersey. After 47 events, starting with the 2020 Safeway Open and finishing up with last week’s Wyndham Championship.
Since the format of the playoffs changed in 2019, the winners of The Northern Trust and next week’s BMW Championship have a major advantage going into the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, as the winners of those tournaments receive 2,000 points—quadruple the amount of a normal win on the PGA Tour.
That virtually assures the winners of those two events will be first and second in the standings heading into the final event, which gives players scoring advantages based on where they are in the standings as follows:
Based on that scoring system, the winner of the Tour Championship in the FedEx Cup champion.
While 125 start at The Northern Trust, there is a cut after two rounds for the top 65 plus ties. After that event, only the top 70 moves on to the BMW Championship, which is a no-cut event. Then the top 30 moves on to the Tour Championship, which is also no-cut.
Collin Morikawa, Jordan Spieth, and Patrick Cantlay finished in the top-three in points, and they—along with Jon Rahm—are the odds-on favorites to win the Tour Championship. Rahm (+750) is the top-ranked player in the world, but he missed the Olympics due to a positive COVID-19 test and then skipped the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, so we’ll see if rust is a factor with him. If he gets off to a slow start at the Northern Trust, his odds to win the Cup may become longer, and then you could bet on him because it’s unlikely that he would be eliminated from contention this weekend even with a mediocre finish.
The only player in the top-10 not at the top of the odds board is Louis Oosthuizen, who sits at 35-1 despite having a great season. This is because he will not be playing in The Northern Trust due to a presumed neck injury that also kept him out of the Wyndham Championship, but if you are feeling risky, he’s a solid bet, as he’s been close to winning this year and could get hot at the right time. The same goes for Spieth, Justin Thomas, and Olympic gold medalist Xander Schauffele. Another name to look out for further down the odds chart is Scottie Scheffler (+4000), who has quietly played well over the summer and shot East Lake last year in the second-fewest actual strokes, so if he can get some bonus strokes, he could be a good upset pick.
|GOLFER||ODDS TO WIN THE 2021 FEDEX CUP CHAMPIONSHIP (TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP)|
|Brooks Koepka / Daniel Berger / Abraham Ancer / Cameron Smith||+2500|
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