Will Zalatoris and Cameron Young Have a Chance to Break Through as First-Time Winners at the 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic
There are just two events left until the FedEx Cup playoffs begin, and while several golfers will be scrambling to improve their position into the top 125 of the standings, there are two golfers in the field who have been knocking on the door so often this year and could break through in this event.
It’s the fourth annual Rocket Mortgage Classic from the Detroit Golf Club in Detroit, Michigan. Nate Lashley won the inaugural edition, followed by Bryson DeChambeau in 2020. Cameron Davis won a three-way playoff last year over Joaquin Niemann and Troy Merritt, requiring five extra holes to defeat Merritt.
While the event is just four years old, the Detroit Golf Club dates back to 1899, when six holes were available to play. Two courses—the North and South Course—were designed by Donald Ross in 1913. The pros play on 17 holes of the North Course and one from the South Course. It’s the flattest course on the PGA Tour, and course officials responded by speeding up the greens, lowering the winning score from 25-under par in 2019 to -18 last year.
The course is par 72 with a total yardage of 7,370. Hole No. 4 is a whopper of a par 5 at 635 yards. Finishing up, the par-5 17th played as the easiest hole last year, and the par-4 18th played as the second-hardest, so be on the lookout for plenty of scoring changes down the stretch.
Defending FedEx Cup champion Patrick Cantlay (+900) is the highest-ranked golfer in the field and the betting favorite. While Cantlay only has one win this season—a team effort with Xander Schauffele at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans—he has quietly put together a solid defense of his title, sitting in sixth in the FedEx Cup standings and nine top-10 finishes. Outside of a missed cut at the PGA Championship, he’s finished no worse than 14th in his last eight events, which includes four top-five finishes in that span.
Tony Finau (+1300) won last week at the 3M Open, capping a stretch of four top-five finishes in his last nine events. The tools that brought him the title at TPC Twin Cities will also play well in Detroit, and given his form, logging back-to-back wins isn’t out of the question.
This could be the weekend where Will Zalatoris or Cameron Young (+1400) become first-time winners on the PGA Tour. Zalatoris has a knack to compete in the biggest events, finishing runner-up at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open, but he’s also finished in the top 10 in more than half of his starts this year. Zalatoris, last year’s Rookie of the Year, has the same odds as this year’s likely Rookie of the Year in Young. He’s coming off a runner-up at the Open Championship—his fourth second-place finish this season—and should be well-rested after taking last weekend off following the trip back from Scotland.
Max Homa (+2000) also took last week off and has had a little more rest after missing the cut at St. Andrews. Homa has two wins on the season, the latest coming in May at the Wells Fargo Championship, and he was fifth at the Memorial last month.
Davis Riley, another rookie, is +2500 after stumbling as one of the favorites last week at the 3M Open, where he missed the cut. He took nearly a month off after the Travelers Championship, so we’ll see if he can regain the form he had from April to early June, where he had three top-five finishes and a finish no worse than 13th in a six-tournament stretch.
Cameron Davis (+3000) is the defending champ and has been playing well as of late. Since the RBC Heritage in April, Davis has logged four top-10 finishes and missed just one cut in nine events. His last three have been an eighth at the John Deere Classic, sixth at the Barracuda Championship, and 16th at the 3M Open.
Kevin Kisner (+3000) has been able to put a couple of good finishes together after a rough spring, coming in sixth at the Travelers Championship and 21st at St. Andrews. He also has a solid history in this event, coming in eighth last year and third in 2020 for a scoring average of 68.5 in this tournament.
Maverick McNealy (+3500) is playing in his sixth-straight tournament, but the workload doesn’t seem to have bothered him yet. After missing the cut at the Travelers, he posted two top-10 finishes and a 16th before stumbling a bit to a 49th at the 3M Open last week. He’s been at par or better in eight career rounds at Detroit Golf Club with an eighth-place finish here in 2020.
Troy Merritt (+6000) took Davis to a fifth playoff hole last year before a bogey on the par-3 15th did him in. He had a solid April with a fourth at the Valero Texas Open and 14th at the RBC Heritage but has struggled a bit since with no finish better than 35th. Merritt, however, not only finished runner-up here last year but also was eighth in 2020. He has nine-straight rounds under par at this course, seven of which were 68 or better.
Cantlay seems to be poised for an individual win as it gets close to playoff time, and we expect him to get into top form to defend his championship. Finau has looked great, but it’s hard to win two weeks in a row. Could this be the week for Zalatoris or Young? We would pick Young out of the two, and Davis at +3000 is great value to repeat in Detroit.
Here are the latest odds from JazzSports for the PGA Tour’s 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
|GOLFER||ODDS TO WIN 2022 ROCKET MORTGAGE CLASSIC|
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